How to resolve AdBlock issue? Global InfoAnalytics Projects NDC Victory in December Elections
Friday, 29 November 2024 | Ghana
Global InfoAnalytics has released its latest forecast, predicting a parliamentary victory for the National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the December 7 elections. The report estimates that the NDC will secure approximately 150 seats, giving the party a majority in Ghana’s 275-seat legislature. On the other hand, the New Patriotic Party (NPP) is projected to win 99 seats, with one seat likely going to an independent candidate. Despite these projections, the report identifies 29 constituencies as too close to call, underscoring the competitive nature of the upcoming elections.
In the presidential race, the forecast predicts a victory for the NDC’s leader, John Dramani Mahama, who is expected to secure 52.2% of the vote. His closest rival, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia of the NPP, is projected to receive 41.4%. Other candidates, including Alan Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako, are estimated to garner 2.5% and 3.0% of the vote, respectively, while 0.9% is expected to go to other contenders.
According to the analysis, Mahama is likely to win in 10 regions, including Greater Accra, Central, Volta, and Northern. Meanwhile, Bawumia is projected to dominate in regions such as Ashanti, Eastern, and North East. The analysis attributes the NDC’s projected parliamentary gains to shifting voter sentiment in critical constituencies, as well as economic and social factors influencing public opinion. These dynamics appear to have bolstered the party’s standing in regions that have traditionally leaned toward the NPP.
The report also notes an anticipated voter turnout of 77.6%, with regional variations expected to play a significant role in determining the final outcome of both parliamentary and presidential races. With 29 parliamentary seats too close to call, the stakes remain high for both major parties. The NPP faces a critical challenge in retaining these swing constituencies, as doing so would help narrow the projected gap.
As the election date draws closer, the competitive landscape outlined by Global InfoAnalytics serves as a reminder of the high stakes involved. The shifting dynamics and close margins in several constituencies highlight the importance of voter engagement and strategic campaigning in the final stretch before the polls.
In the presidential race, the forecast predicts a victory for the NDC’s leader, John Dramani Mahama, who is expected to secure 52.2% of the vote. His closest rival, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia of the NPP, is projected to receive 41.4%. Other candidates, including Alan Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako, are estimated to garner 2.5% and 3.0% of the vote, respectively, while 0.9% is expected to go to other contenders.
According to the analysis, Mahama is likely to win in 10 regions, including Greater Accra, Central, Volta, and Northern. Meanwhile, Bawumia is projected to dominate in regions such as Ashanti, Eastern, and North East. The analysis attributes the NDC’s projected parliamentary gains to shifting voter sentiment in critical constituencies, as well as economic and social factors influencing public opinion. These dynamics appear to have bolstered the party’s standing in regions that have traditionally leaned toward the NPP.
The report also notes an anticipated voter turnout of 77.6%, with regional variations expected to play a significant role in determining the final outcome of both parliamentary and presidential races. With 29 parliamentary seats too close to call, the stakes remain high for both major parties. The NPP faces a critical challenge in retaining these swing constituencies, as doing so would help narrow the projected gap.
As the election date draws closer, the competitive landscape outlined by Global InfoAnalytics serves as a reminder of the high stakes involved. The shifting dynamics and close margins in several constituencies highlight the importance of voter engagement and strategic campaigning in the final stretch before the polls.
- DrBawumia | Ghana Decides | Ghana Elections 2024 | John Mahama | NDC | NPP